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In their January 2024 article, Vahteristo et al reported the results of their prospective randomised trial comparing human papillomavirus (HPV)-based cervical cancer screening versus cytology screening in Southern Finland.1 This study examined using high-risk HPV (hrHPV)-based cervical cancer screening in Finland, a country with a well-established, high-quality cytology screening programme and a low incidence of cervical cancer. Over 236 000 individuals were involved in this long-term follow-up of the Finnish randomised HPV screening trial. The authors calculated the cervical cancer incidence and mortality rate ratios using Poisson regression. They found that in the HPV testing arm, the cervical cancer incidence rate ratio was 1.08 (95% CI 0.85 to 1.37) and the mortality rate ratio was 1.01 (95% CI 0.61 to 1.64) compared with the cytology-only arm. This demonstrated that in this setting of high levels of cytology cervical cancer screening, hrHPV and cytology screening showed similar levels of effectiveness. This study fills in an important knowledge gap about cervical cancer screening. It may, however, raise questions in some people’s minds about the need to change our screening programmes from cytology to HPV testing in areas of the world with existing systems and which systems to start in areas with no current screening.
In the 2000s, multiple randomised controlled trials demonstrated that hrHPV DNA detection finds cervical intraepithelial neoplasias (CINs) earlier than cytology testing.2–4 A pooled randomised controlled trial study comparing primary screening tests showed that hrHPV screening provides greater protection against invasive cervical carcinomas compared with cytology.5 However, with multiple rounds of testing, cytology screening resulted in similar levels of dysplasia and cancer detection.3 These data are supported by the findings of Vahteristo et al and raise the question of why change to primary HPV testing if the infrastructure for cytology is already in place and working? Changing to new systems takes time, planning, equipment investment and training. For this narrowly phrased question, one might think it is not worth the cost and effort of changing.
There are other issues to consider in the broader question of which cervical screening test is best. One consideration for changing to hrHPV screening is that it provides an objective, validated test system as opposed to the more expert-dependent cytology assessment.6 This allows HPV testing to be standardised for better performance and reduces the requirement for scarce highly trained individuals to screen large numbers of samples. Another advantage to HPV testing is it enables the possibility for self-sampling which can improve screening coverage.7–9 Many parts of the world are experimenting with different self-sampling devices which may allow for samples to be taken and mailed into central laboratories for processing.10 11 This plan obviates the need for building more satellite laboratories which can increase screening in resource-limited areas.
What the Vahteristo et al’s study does not address is the predictive value of HPV testing versus cytology in the setting of recent abnormal screening tests. Many cervical screening and management guidelines, including the American Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology guidelines, recommend using HPV testing for follow-up of abnormal tests and treatment because of their increased predictive values in this setting.12 So, regardless of which test may be chosen by national and local screening organisations, HPV testing should be available, if possible, for post-abnormality follow-up. Our focus should be on the advantages and disadvantages of various methods to leverage strengths and avoid weaknesses in application.
Different countries have unique medical systems, economic resources and cultures. Opportunistic screening remains an important part of cervical cancer screening in many parts of the world including in China, and Vahteristo et al’s results should not be generalised to those populations. The West China Second University Hospital study demonstrated that of 161 cervical cancer cases and 1094 CIN 2/3 cases that had available co-test results, hrHPV-negative results were negative in 12.4% of cervical cancer and 10.1% of CIN 2/3 cases compared with cytology-negative results in 15.5% of cervical cancer and 4.3% of CIN 2/3 cases. It is unclear whether these differences are due to differences in the population, the HPV tests or other factors, but these data indicate that co-testing may be the better choice for opportunistic screening in the setting.13
The Vahteristo et al’s study demonstrated that in settings with long-term cytology screening and low cervical cancer incidence, HPV testing may not offer significant improvements in cervical cancer screening outcomes. For people in low-resource settings or who are starting organised cervical cancer screening programmes, using primary high-risk HPV testing as the screening test offers several key advantages. Its earlier detection of dysplasia and cancer offers advantages to people in under-resourced areas that are also usually underscreened. The potentially lower cost of establishing programmes in these areas may make it easier to establish or expand screening in poorly screened and under-resourced areas. For many parts of the world, hrHPV testing or co-testing will still be the test of choice for cervical cancer screening. How to triage and manage hrHPV-positive people, improve HPV testing and vaccination acceptance, reduce unnecessary anxiety and avoid excessive medical treatment are issues that will also need to be addressed.
Data availability statement
Data are available in a public, open access repository. Data are available upon reasonable request.
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Footnotes
Contributors EJM completed the main text. YZ completed the abstract and revision.
Funding The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Competing interests EJM has served as an editorial member of GOCM.There are no competing interests.
Patient and public involvement Patients and/or the public were not involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of this research.
Provenance and peer review Commissioned; internally peer reviewed.